Showing posts with label Vegas. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Vegas. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 7, 2007

Superbowl Report Pt. 1

Ah…breathe deep. Suck it in.

It’s good to be back home, in the cold, where it takes two hours to travel a distance no greater than forty miles on a Tuesday afternoon.

Where thirty car pile ups snarl expressways for hours.

It’s nice to have two feet planted on terra firma after the pilot announced yesterday, after spending nearly twenty minutes in what the airlines call a “holding pattern” (which sounds much better than “hovering over Lake Michigan until we nearly run out of fuel and have to make a decision”) that we were going to “try and land” at Midway. He even went as far as announcing that in winter conditions like the Chicagoland was experiencing yesterday (Feb. 6, 2007) that the standard practice was to “come down hard” and “stop harder” which left me uneasy in my seat.

Yup, welcome back…

After three days in sunny Las Vegas, eN Vee, I have returned a different man.

While most major Sporting News agencies and even a few fellow Bloggers (Kissing Suzy Kolber, Deadspin, With Leather) sent representatives to South Florida (has it struck anyone else strange that they refused to refer to the City of Miami by name?) The Monday AM QB decided it would be a good experiment to buck the trend and send me to Vegas. Here’s what I remember………..

Saturday February 3, 2007.
Day started with a Bloody Mary and a fat sandwich from Pot Belly. There were Bears fans everywhere at Midway International. Chicago was abuzz with Super Bowl Dreams. I sat and spoke football with my travel companion. We were both feeling the same…IF the Bears show up and play, they have a chance. The ‘experts’ were off base. Good for Rex for telling that reporter to suck his ass.

The flight was quick…at least it is when you’re snoring your ass off for the majority of the trip. I woke up shortly before final decent into Vegas. A flight attendant came over the speaker telling everyone to take a dollar out and write their seat number on it. He cracked some smart ass joke that he only laughed at.

“You’re all gonna lose money when you land anyways, might as well have a shot at a winner.”

He was a prick. The cash ended up going to someone a few rows back. The frugal fucks actually wrote two seat numbers on one bill.

“Good for them,” I thought to myself. “That’s more money then those two fuckers brought for their whole trip.”

Shortly after the excitement we were on the ground and deplaning. Our bags showed up rather quickly and we hopped a cab to our casino.

Due to some good planning by my part, we had exactly two hours to check in, change into suits, and head to Caesar’s Palace to meet some associates for drinks and dinner before heading to a Comedy Show at the Mirage at 10:30. I had managed to plan it so I wouldn’t be able to gamble away a single dollar before midnight at the earliest.

Little did I know…

We got lost walking in the Forum Shops at Caesars. Then the people we were meeting were late and even though we had dinner reservations we waited an hour to be seated. The opening act at the comedy show was 100 times better than the headliner but got 1/3 the stage time. He wasn't by any means BAD, but the opener kicked his ass.

I won't share his name with the world, but I'll give you this as a hint...His TV Wife...


By the time we got back to our room to put on some street clothes, I was hammered. I had my heart set on hitting the Sports Book and making a few wagers on the Big Game, but instead grabbed a seat at a Blackjack table. This was sometime around midnight.

My associate busted out and headed to bed around three o’clock in the morning. He was just as drunk as I was, mixing a slew of various liquors over the course of the day. But I was determined to stay up, take the joint’s money, and party with my new friends at the table.


There was Tony Blair, a young black man from London. He talked just like Basher from Oceans 11. He was with his cute wife, an Indian woman also with an English accent. I quickly dubbed her Bend it Like Beckham.



“Can you do me one favor?” I was looking her dead in the face smiling ear to ear, trying not to laugh.

“Sure, what is it you wish?” She had a sheepish grin, but she had been drinking a glass of Pinot Grigio every time the waitress came around, so she was a little tipsy also.

“Repeat this sentence. Hello, welcome to Jumbo Mart.”




Reluctantly, she uttered the words, confused, unsure of my intentions.

The dealer and I started laughing hysterically. Evidently he was a fan of E.R. too.

We gambled for hours, drinking heavily, winning, losing, and shooting the shit. They were on a 4 day layover before heading to Australia for his new job. And Better yet, they were completely oblivious to the high light of the weekend.

“Where you guys watching the Superbowl tomorrow?” I was making small talk. We were running out of topics.

“Waaaaas dat ‘mate,” he looked confused.

“You know, the Superbowl. Football. American Football. Helmets and pads and high speed collisions”

“Ah, we don’t give a minute to that game ‘mate.” He was laughing. “It’s not something we follow. It’d be like me asking you if you were taking in today’s Cricket Match, now wouldn’t it?”

He had a point. To the rest of the world, football is Soccer. And here in America, Soccer is something kids play, not a professional sport followed by virtually everyone with a pulse. It’s strange to look at a sport that means so much to our culture in the eyes of someone who knows nothing about it. Here’s this kid from England in Las Vegas on a HUGE sporting weekend in America, and he has no clue.

We sat and talked a while about the strangeness of the whole thing. Eventually he busted out and headed off. I sat and played for a while until a strange man came over and sat right next to me. There were four other open chairs, but he sat close by and talked even closer.
I quickly learned he had been at the casino for a week. He was moving from Tucson to LA to become an actor.

“That’s thinking outside the box,” I quipped. The dude was creeping me out.

After a few hours he finally leaned in and asked, “So, are you holdin’ man?”

I knew now what his M.O. was.

“No man, I’m not ‘holdin’ shit. First off, I’m no addict. Second off, I flew in from Chicago, so even if I was how the hell am I supposta get shit through security?”

“Well I got a joint if you wanna come up and smoke a bit and catch some breakfast in a while. You’ll smoke a little won’t you man?”

He was giving off the creepiest vibe I’ve ever felt in my life. He seemed like a normal fella, but something about him was fucked.

“No thanks man. I’m gonna go up in a bit and pass out. I’ve been at this since midnight and I’ve been drinking since this afternoon. I really need to catch a few winks.”

“Alright man, that’s cool. I’m gonna hit the bathroom, think about it. I’ll be back in a minute.”

He got up and walked away. I practically threw my chips at the dealer.

“Color me up. I’ve had enough.”

He knew I wanted to get the hell out of there and quickly handed me my chips.

“Have a good evening sir,” I said to the pit boss as I walked away, flipping a $100 chip on the table.

“Mr. B, its 7:30 am, so the correct term would be ‘have a nice morning or nice day’ not good evening,” he was busting balls still.

Earlier in the night he mentioned he was from Detroit and was picking Indy to win the Superbowl. I was getting a little more vocal, and I always try and bend a pit boss’ ear. You want them to remember your face, but not necessarily your name.

“You’re from Detroit, what the hell do you know about football? Your team couldn’t beat themselves. Your GM is certifiably retarded. Marty Morningwig was your coach for chrissake. And YOU’RE telling me about football? HA!”

I strolled over to the elevators, looking over my shoulder the entire way. As I stepped through the doors and put my key card in the reader to be whisked away to the 35th floor, I had visions of getting all pissed to the sheets with that guy, heading up to his room, and waking up in a bathtub full of ice with my kidney missing.

In my old age I was starting to make wise decisions. And with one colorful chip in my pocket worth the initial $1,000 I had started the session with over seven hours prior, I knew I was going to make some wise decisions in the Sports Book the next morning.

After all, in six hours my Chicago Bears were going to win the Super Bowl.

Tuesday, January 23, 2007

NFL Playoffs 2007 –Super Bowl XLI – A Guide to Getting Paid

















Going into the Conference Championship round I was down $90. I made some bold predictions and in the end, came out ahead.

Here’s a breakdown of last weekend’s action:

$200 Chicago -1/Over 43 (Parlay) +$540
$200 Over 43 (Bears/Saints) +$200
$100 New England +3 -$110
$100 Under 47.5 (Pats/Colts) -$110
$100 NE+3/Under 47.5 (Parlay) -$110

So as it stands, going into Super Bowl Weekend, I’m up $420. Not bad, almost 50% increase.

I will start my Super Bowl pick by letting you all in on a little secret.

I’m going to Vegas for the game. It’s the third time I’ve done this, and historically, I’m 50%. The only time I actually collected on a Super Bowl bet was back in 2003 for Super Bowl XXXVII when Tampa Bay beat the Raiders up and down the field. I hit a parlay, and the initial feeling was like seeing a girl naked for the first time…I was hooked. The next year I took The Patriots, who won the game but didn’t cover.

This year I’m looking to make a statement and move to 2 for 3.

SUPER BOWL XLI – CHICAGO BEARS vs. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
EARLY LINE: COLTS -7 O/U 48.5


This game hits close to home. Growing up in a suburb of Chicago, I’ve been two things my entire life: a Bears fan and a White Sox fan. In 2005 I got to witness, first hand, the joy of a baseball team winning a World Series and the difference it can make in someone’s life. It was a joyous moment for the City of Chicago and the fans. But there’s one thing about Chicago that outsiders may not comprehend…Nothing can compare to a Bears Super Bowl win. The World Series was a big deal, but you have to remember, this is a City with TWO baseball teams. You’ve got two very different groups of people rooting for two very different teams. In essence, it’s a City divided.

But EVERYONE loves the Bears. EVERYONE. A Super Bowl XLI win could quite possibly SHUT CHICAGO DOWN. I for one want to see it happen…people marching down the Dan Ryan in controlled chaos, Mayor Daley making February 4th a state wide holiday, Jay Mariotti getting lynched and hug from the antennae of the Sears Tower, Chris Farley’s body exhumed for one more episode of Bill Swerski’s Super Fans, Jim Belushi dropping dead of a heart attack…it’d be a great day in the history of the City.

But enough of that gibberish…time to break this one down.

THE NUMBERS:
The Bears and the Colts have played seven games since Super Bowl XX, and the Bears have won six of them.

Indy’s regular season losses came at the hands of Dallas, Tennessee, Jacksonville, and Houston. The Bears were beat by Miami, New England, and Green Bay.

On the road to the Super Bowl the Colts have beaten Kansas City, Baltimore, and New England. The Bears have defeated Seattle and New Orleans.

All the trends point to this game playing OVER, however the Bears Defense has stepped up their game and with the exception of the New England game the Colt’s D has been stellar in the playoffs.

In the first three playoff appearances, Peyton Manning has thrown 2 TD’s and 6 INT’s. Rex Grossman has thrown 2 TD’s and 1 INT.

Speaking of turnovers, the Bears are +3 in the Giveaway/Takeaway column.

By the numbers, the Colts Defense has been the best in the playoffs, allowing 229 yards/game while holding opponents to a 22.2% Third Down Success Rate, and a meager 16 points per game. But they have been the most penalized with 16 flags for 115 yards.

The Bears Defense is ranked seventh, allowing 340.5 yards/game with a 35.7% Third Down Success Rate, and only 19 points per game. The unit has been flagged 11 times for 63 yards.

AND by the numbers, these two teams match up well offensively. The Colts are ranked #2 in the playoffs and the Bears #3.

The Colts, 383 yards/game, 47% Third Down, 10 penalties for 91 yards, 25 points/game played (3) came to life last weekend after falling behind 21-3 to Tom Brady and the Patriots.

The Bears, 355 yards/game, 30.6% Third Down, 6 penalties for 45 yards, 33 points/game played (2) have been feeding opponents a steady diet of Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson to set up Rex Grossman for the deep ball.

Those are the numbers of this whole thing.

But when one steps back to analyze this game there are a few match ups to consider.

Peyton Manning vs. Brian Urlacher.
Both are great football minds. Both are young players whose names have been mentioned with the all time greats of the sport. Peyton is the field general of the offense, Brian is the master of the defense. These two are going to toy with each other all game, but in the end I think Urlacher will get the best of Peyton.

John Tait vs. Dwight Freeney.
John Tait has been great at left tackle all season for the Bears. But he faces Freeney whose numbers (29 tackles, 5.5 sacks, 4 forced fumbles) speak for themselves.

Devin Hester vs. Colts Special Teams.
New England’s return man Ellis Hobbs had a great day against the Colt’s weak kick coverage, and Hobbs is by no means the ‘Windy City Flier.’ Hester might be able to break one in the biggest game of his career.

Cedric Benson vs. Colts Defense.
Benson has been used effectively in the first two playoff games as a human battering ram. The man runs north and south, usually right at would be tacklers, and more often than not, over them. He’s been able to soften the Defense and give Thomas Jones the ability to run wild. These two make a perfect one-two punch.

Marvin Harrison/Reggie Wayne vs. Charles Tillman.
‘Peanut’ Tillman has been picked on in every game this post season. Quarterbacks know to stay away from Nathan Vasher, so Tillman ends up being exploited. Tillman was the man who was three steps behind Steve Smith in the 2005 NFC playoff game, when Smith racked up over 200 yards receiving.

Colts Offensive Line vs. Bears Defensive Line.
With the loss of Tommie Harris the Bears D-Line had been lacking pressure on the Quarterback, until last week against the #1 offense in the NFL. But with legal troubles potentially keeping Tank Johnson in the state of Illinois for the Super Bowl, the Bears may need to find another source of pressure. It’s a known that Blitzing Defenses get CARVED UP by Peyton Manning, so the D Line must get pressure.

That’s a lot to digest.

Bottom line:
I’m taking the Bears and the points. I personally don’t think that any team can beat the Bears if they play the way they did last week. Yes, Peyton lead is team to a huge come from behind victory against his arch rival Tom Brady. But I think the Bears are too much to handle.

And I’ve said it for three straight weeks and been wrong every time…Peyton Manning will lose.

This time it’s nice to know that loss will come at the hands of My Chicago Bears.

BEARS +7, UNDER 48.5